Before you all start commenting on this post, let me start by saying that I am no real estate expert and don't claim to be either. That being said, I think real estate has gone crazy (that pic on the left is a home in Kirkland priced at $8 million), especially at the high end of the market, in Kirkland. I just ran some searches on Windermere and here is what I found out from looking at the 447 properties currently for sale in Kirkland:
- Number of properties (homes/condos/land) over $1 million = 152 listings
- Number of properties (homes/condos) over $2 million = 44 listings
In our West of Market neighborhood alone we are seeing homes with little or no view, set way back from Lake Washington on average sized lots (7200 sq. ft.), asking over $2 million. One real estate agent I interviewed said that although "everyone is asking for these prices, hardly anyone is getting them." They are just sitting. A non-waterfront home just got listed last week for about $3.5 million--no one I know can figure out how they came up with the price tag. It's a nice house, but $3.5? Click here to see what I am talking about.
In further (very unscientific) research only about one home per month sells in Kirkland over $2 million dollars and a few end up selling over $1 million. Couple this fact, with the fact that more and more homes keep getting listed in these price ranges and it would take years to sell all the high end inventory currently listed. Sellers, I hope you can sit tight for the long haul because that is what it might take for you to get your price! Buyers, if you are in the high end of the market you have the leverage right now--use it wisely! BTW, I got these stats by looking at the Kirkland Courier and their past real estate sales from the previous month. I know, I know, very unscientific, but it's just me doing some back of the napkin type analysis. You got to admit it's interesting, no?
I think the hotter part of the market is for homes selling under or close to $1 million. By having all the $2 million dollar homes on the market buyers are feeling good about getting into Kirkland's high rent district in this price range or buying fixer-uppers/tear downs. With all the high-end stuff it gives buyers comfort that their investment will go nowhere but up. Unfortunately if you are trying to buy in this range and looking for a deal you are also competing with builders, like Lux, or very motivated buyers. Look out for competing offers with no contingencies (do a pre-inspection if you want the property but are not going to tear it down), escalation clauses, and quick closes--not to mention all cash offers.
I also found a bunch of very cool real estate sites that can help you in your quest for buying or selling real estate. Check these out:
Janis and I have thought about buying a new (and larger) home in the past few months. We also want to stay in the West of Market area, but as we have seen the prices continue to rise to the crazy levels we are now seeing it caused us to reconsider. We have decided to stay put for the next several years and possibly remodel to accommodate our needs (and make room for the small tribe of kids we have). Who knows maybe there is a bubble...or maybe these multi-million dollar homes will start selling like hot cakes? We will watch from the sidelines either way...
I feel bad for our real estate agent, Laura Brodniak from Windermere, who has been awesome in trying to find us our next home. Who knows, maybe she will find us an incredible home that is priced right and we will change our minds.
Steve
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